Road to 2040: insights from TEASIMED 2 Scenario Modelling Internal Workshop

The energy sector is undergoing a heavy transformation driven by climate change mitigation and technological advancements. To help navigate this complex energy transition, Med-TSO’s Technical Committee Economic Studies and Scenarios (TC ESS), chaired by Emmanuel Bué (RTE, France), has developed three scenarios for the study of future horizons: Inertial, Proactive, and Mediterranean Ambition. Upon concluding the data collection phase in December 2023, in the frame of the TEASIMED 2 project, we deployed the Inertial scenario simulation model using ANTARES software to forecast developments for the 2030 and 2040 periods.

The TC ESS presented the above-mentioned results in Tunis on February 20th and 21st, 2024, during a two-day workshop about scenario modelling, kindly hosted by our member STEG, the Tunisian Company of Electricity and Gas. A notable highlight of the event was the presence of STEG’s PDG Faycel TARIFA, who highlighted STEG’s commitment to the energy transition in Tunisia. He emphasised STEG’s dedication to renewable energy integration and the need for increased interconnections with neighbouring countries to address flexibility issues. His presence underscored STEG’s strong support for Med-TSO’s initiatives in shaping the region’s energy landscape.

The workshop provided a platform for stakeholders to explore the main results of the Inertial scenario modelling, shedding light on the dynamics of the 2030 and 2040 horizons. Throughout the event, attendees had the opportunity to analyse modelling results specific to their countries and gain insights into the use of interconnections within the Reference grid case. The workshop fostered collaboration among members, allowing for data collection adjustments and strategic discussions to shape future energy strategies.

Despite the complexities of the data and the need for hands-on engagement, participants embraced the workshop’s interactive sessions, thus marking another step towards defining the future of the Mediterranean energy landscape.